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Mortality Projections

Working Paper 119 CMI Mortality Projections Model: CMI_2018 (v01 issue date: 07/03/2019; v02 issue date: 02/04/2019)
Working Paper 116 The value of the period smoothing parameter, Sk1, in CMI_2018 (Issue date: 01/02/2019)
Working Paper 115

CMI Mortality Projections Model – Interim update (v01 issue date: 19/12/2018; v02 issue date 07/03/2019

Working Paper 114

Consultation on the value of the period smoothing parameter, Sk (Issue date: 07/12/2018; response date: 18/01/2019)
Working Paper 111 Regular monitoring of England & Wales population mortality (Issue date: 23/10/2018; response date: 30/11/2018)
Working Paper 105 CMI Mortality Projections Model: CMI_2017 (v01 issue date: 01/03/2018; v02 issue date: 08/05/2018)
Working Paper 103

CMI Mortality Projections Model – Mid-year update (Issue date: 08/11/2017)

Working paper 99

CMI Mortality Projections Model: Software user guide (v01 issue date: 27/03/2017; v02 issue date: 08/11/2017)

Working paper 98 CMI Mortality Projections Model: Methods (Issue date: 27/03/2017)
Working paper 97

CMI Mortality Projections Model: CMI_2016 (v01 issue date: 27/03/2017; v02 issue date: 08/11/2017)

Working paper 93 CMI Mortality Projections Model: Consultation responses and plans for CMI_2016 (Issue date 29/11/2016; Reissued 02/12/2016)
Working paper 91 CMI Mortality Projections Model consultation - technical paper.  (Issues date 31/08/2016)
Working paper 90 CMI Mortality Projections Model consultation. (Issue date 22/06/2016; Reissued 31/08/2016; Response date 30/09/2016 )
Working paper 85 Initial report on the features of high age mortality.  (Issue date 16/10/2015)

Working paper 84

The CMI Mortality Projections Model, CMI_2015. (Issue date 28/09/2015)

Working paper 83

Recent mortality in England and Wales. (Issue date 28/09/2015. Reissued 06/10/2015)

Working paper 82

The CMI format for heatmaps of mortality improvements. (Issue date 28/09/2015)

Working paper 80

The release dates of future updates to the CMI Mortality Projections Model (issue date: 26/06/2015)

Working paper 79

Consultation on the release date of future updates to the CMI Mortality Projections Model.  (Issue date: 16/03/2015; Response date: 16/04/2015)

Working paper 77

Report of the Graduation and Modelling Working Party (Issue date 06/03/2015)

Working paper 74

The CMI Mortality Projections Model, CMI_2014 (Issue date: 24/11/2014; Response date: N/A)
Working paper 69 The CMI Mortality Projections Model, CMI_2013, and feedback on the consultation on the future of the CMI Library of Mortality Projections and the CMI Mortality Projections Model. (Issue date: 13/09/2013; Response date: N/A)

Working paper 64

Consultation on the future of the CMI Library of Mortality Projections and the CMI Mortality Projections Model (Issue date: 12/4/2013; Response date: 31/05/2013)

Working paper 63

The CMI Mortality Projections Model, CMI_2012 (Issue date: 08/02/2013; Response date: N/A)

Working paper 55

The CMI Mortality Projections Model, CMI_2011 (Issue date: 16/09/2011)

Working paper 54

Advancing the release date of the CMI Mortality Projections Model (Issue date: 04/08/2011; Response date: 09/09/2011)

Working paper 49

The CMI Mortality Projections Model, 'CMI_2010' (Issue date: 23/11/2010; Response date: n/a)

Working paper 41

CMI Mortality Projections Model - feedback on consultation and issue of 'CMI_2009' (Issue date: 25/11/2009)

Working paper 39

A prototype mortality projections model: Part two - a detailed analysis (Issue date: 7/07/2009)

Working paper 38

A prototype mortality projections model: Part one - an outline of the proposed approach (Issue date: 19/06/2009)

Working paper 37

Version 1.1 of the CMI library of mortality projections (Issue date: 13/03/2009)
Working paper 30 and the Library of mortality projections The CMI Library of mortality projections (Issue date: 23/11/2007)

Working paper 27

The "library" of mortality projections (Issue date: 11/07/2007)

Working paper 25

Stochastic projection methodologies: Lee-Carter model features, example results and implications (Issue date: 03/04/2007)

Working paper 20

Stochastic projection methodologies: further progress and P-Spline model features, example results and implication (Issue date: 05/04/2006)

Working paper 15

Projecting future mortality: towards a proposal for a stochastic methodology (Issue date: 20/07/2005)

Working paper 10

The mortality of impaired assured lives, 1991-2002 (Issue date: 08/11/2004)

Working paper 8

Considerations for the graduation of the 1999-2002 mortality experience (Issue date: 20/08/2004)

Working paper 3

Projecting future mortality: a discussion paper (Issue date: 12/03/2004)

Working paper 2

Responses to the draft report entitled A proposed interim basis for adjusting the 92 series mortality projections for cohort effects and further commentary thereon. (Issue date: 10/12/2002)

Working paper 1

An interim basis for adjusting the 92 series mortality projections for cohort effects. (Issue date: 10/12/2002)

 

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Events calendar

  • TIGI 2019 (Technical Issues in General Insurance)

    Royal College of Physicians, 11 St Andrews Place, Regent's Park, London, NW1 4LE
    25-26 April 2019
    Spaces available

    This General Insurance CPD offering has been changed from former years of individual one day seminars to include individual sessions for IFRS 17, Pricing, Capital Modelling and Reserving over a two-day event  packaged as Technical Issues in General Insurance, providing attendees with a varied program . The event is suitable for anyone who works, or are interested, in these areas.

  • Fully booked.

    Data Visualisation helps to communicate information clearly and effectively through graphical means.  This talk will showcase some visualisations that the working party has found useful for common actuarial situations.  The event is now full, however if you would like to join a waiting list, please email Barry_shannon@standardlife.com

  • Francophone Actuaries Meeting 2019

    Aviva, Saint Helen's, 1 Undershaft, London EC3P 3DQ, UK
    2 May 2019

    Spaces available

    L'Institut des Actuaires and French actuaries in the UK, partnered with Aviva, are delighted to be hosting their annual "l'afterwork" event for French speaking actuaries in the UK. The event will mix French and English interventions.

    Register via this link to be added to the guest list:  https://www.eventbrite.com/e/rencontre-annuelle-des-actuaires-francophones-londres-tickets-59758941603

     

     

  • Spaces available

    CPD

    CPD
    1.00 hours

    The CMI SAPS Mortality Committee and Mortality Projections Committee will be holding a joint webinar, aimed primarily at pension scheme trustees, describing considerations relating to setting longevity assumptions in 2019.

  • SIAS EVENT - Hurricane Clustering: A New Reality?

    Staple Inn Hall, High Holborn, London, WC1V 7QJ
    7 May 2019

    Spaces available

    The 2017 North Atlantic hurricane season was one of the most active on record. We saw multiple hurricanes coming close together causing significant damage and human loss. The talk discusses whether 2017 was an exceptional year or indicative of what we expect to see in the near future, and the implications for (re)insurers.

  • IFoA Asia Conference 2019, Chengdu

    Crowne Plaza Chengdu Panda Garden, Poly Park 198, No. 1980 ShuLong Avenue,Xindu District, Chengdu
    09-10 May 2019
    Spaces available

    IfoA Logo for eventsOffering a diverse selection of plenary sessions and cross-practice workshops, the annual Asia Conference is the perfect opportunity to discover and discuss current and developing actuarial topics in Asia, whilst providing excellent opportunity to grow your network of contacts.

  • DAG event - Can we overcome unconscious bias?

    KPMG LLP  Saltire Court,  20 Castle Terrace, Edinburgh EH1 2EG
    9 May 2019

    Spaces available

    This session will examine our biases, look at what it feels like to be an outsider and give attendees practical tools and actions we can all take to support and grow diversity and inclusion, within the profession. This session is also designed to meet the objectives of the IFoA’s Stage 3 Professional Skills Training for experienced members.

  • KSS event – IQ+EQ = Future Success

    Royal London, 1 Thistle Street, Edinburgh
    14 May 2019

    Spaces available

    In this interactive session, our facilitators, Russell Borland and Thomas Chalmers, Partners of UK-based coaching consulting firm, Leading Figures, will explore how we can enhance our EQ to make the most of our IQ. They will introduce an Emotional Intelligence framework developed by psychologist Daniel Goleman and provide participants with an opportunity to personally assess their own Emotional Intelligence.  To register please email Caitlin.stronach@royallondon.com

  • CILA 2019

    30 Euston Square, London NW1 2FB
    14 May 2019

    Spaces available

    CILA is one of the pre-eminent events in the annual Life calendar. It is aimed at practicing life actuaries from life offices, consulting firms and other employers of actuaries. It will also be of interest to all those who work in or advise on, the life assurance market in the UK and Europe.

  • KSS event – Bulk Annuity Market Update

    Willis Towers Watson 2 Lochrin Square, 96 Fountainbridge, Edinburgh EH3 9QA
    15 May 2019

    Fully booked.

    This KSS talk will give a bulk annuity market update over 2018 and for 2019 and beyond.  The presenters will also consider bulk annuity options as part of pension scheme de-risking strategies, and how pension schemes can best prepare when requesting a quote in order to achieve a favourable outcome. Please note this event is now full, however, if you wish to join a waiting list, please email Dawn.Neil@willistowerswatson.com.

  • KSS event – Bulk Annuity Market Update

    Willis Towers Watson 2 West Regent Street Glasgow G2 1RW
    16 May 2019

    Spaces available

    This KSS talk will give a bulk annuity market update over 2018 and for 2019 and beyond. The presenters will also consider bulk annuity options as part of pension scheme de-risking strategies, and how pension schemes can best prepare when requesting a quote in order to achieve a favourable outcome. To book a place please email Dawn.Neil@willistowerswatson.com

  • How to protect SMEs from Cyber Attacks

    Staple Inn Hall, High Holborn, London, WC1V 7QJ.  
    16 May 2019

    Spaces available

    The aim of this interdisciplinary symposium is to gain understanding and awareness of UK private SMEs about their insurance need as a part of cyber risk management and mitigation strategies.

  • Risk and Investment Conference 2019

    Amba Hotel, Charing Cross, Strand, London WC2N 5HX
    20-21 May 2019
    Spaces available

    This year's event begins with a Professional Skills Training plenary to help build your CPD, followed by a formal drinks reception and dinner on the evening of 20 May.  The following day will then be a programme full of topical plenaries and workshops covering the latest trends and topical issues in the risk and investment sector with plenty of opportunities to network with colleagues and build your CPD.

  • LMS Invited Lectures 2019

    ICMS, The Bayes Centre, 47 Potterrow, Edinburgh EH8 9BT
    20 May 2019 - 24 May 2019

    Spaces available

    On May 20-24 2019, Prof Søren Asmussen (Aarhus University) will deliver a course on lectures on advanced topics in life insurance mathematics.  This will be held at the International Centre for Mathematical Sciences, Edinburgh, and will be accompanied by supporting lectures from Prof Corina Constantinescu (University of Liverpool) and Prof Andrew Cairns (Heriot-Watt University). To register, please visit https://www.icms.org.uk/LMSAsmussen.php.

  • Mortality and Longevity Symposium 2019

    ICC Birmingham, Broad St, Birmingham B1 2EA
    04-05 June 2019
    Spaces available

    The Mortality and Longevity Symposium aims to expand delegates’ horizons by giving a better view of the scope of current mortality research in a wide variety of relevant disciplines, and by providing a forum to discuss the implications for actuarial practice and it will be of interest to all actuaries concerned with setting or reviewing mortality and longevity assumptions, underwriters, demographers, epidemiologists, policy-

  • Protection, Health and Care Conference 2019

    ICC Birmingham  Broad St, Birmingham B1 2EA
    04-06 June 2019
    Spaces available

    The Protection, Health and Care Conference is an annual conference aimed at all insurance professionals with a passion for harnessing insurance risk in their organisations. The conference uses a combination of workshops by individuals who work at the coalface and ‘big name’ experts to explore how innovation, technological/medical advances, the political landscape and other market development will impact the Protection, Health and Care markets.

  • NED Event: Behavioural Finance and Boards

    Staple Inn Hall, High Holborn, London, WC1V 7QJ
    18 June 2019

    Spaces available

    Substantial work has been undertaken in the field of behavioural finance to explore the psychological factors affecting investment decisions made by individuals.  In contrast, “behavioural” factors (such as politics or human psychology) affecting decisions and actions made by institutional investors, such as insurers or pension schemes, are less understood.

  • Pensions Conference 2019

    Bristol Marriott Hotel City Centre, 2 Lower Castle Street, Old Market, Bristol, BS1 3AD
    18-19 June 2019
    Spaces available

    Covering current topics and industry trends, the conference also includes a pre-conference evening dinner (18 June) giving you the opportunity to develop your network. 

  • KSS event – FinTech and The Actuarial Profession

    EY, Atria One, 144 Morrison Street, Edinburgh
    19 June 2019

    Spaces available

    This KSS talk from FinTech Scotland's CEO will explore the mission to create an integrated Fintech ecosystem through provision of funding, support, infrastructure and talent that recognises and responds to the needs of all stakeholders - and the overarching aim for Scotland to be one of the top 5 Fintech global leaders by 2020.

    To book your place, please email Barry_Shannon@standardlife.com 

  • Current Issues in General Insurance (CIGI) 2019

    Inmarsat, 99 City Road, London, EC1Y 1BJ
    19 June 2019

    Spaces available

    CIGI will provide an excellent and diverse line-up of speakers, each providing their insight and knowledge on a range of topics.  The programme will be broad in nature, so will be of most value to those with some experience in the industry. 

  • AGM and Presidential Address 2019

    The Hub  Castlehill Edinburgh EH1 2NE
    26 June 2019

    Spaces available

    Notice is hereby given that the ANNUAL GENERAL MEETING of the INSTITUTE AND FACULTY OF ACTUARIES will be held at The Hub, Edinburgh on Wednesday 26 June 2019 at 16.30 (Preceded by tea from 16.00) and followed by a PRESIDENTIAL ADDRESS given by John Taylor.

  • SIAS: The Impact of Air Pollution on Health and Life Expectancy

    Staple Inn Hall, High Holborn, London, WC1V 7QJ
    2 July 2019

    Spaces available

    Air pollution has gained increasing attention lately. Nicola Oliver, head of longevity and mortality research for Medical Intelligence, will discuss not only the impacts of air pollution on health and life expectancy but also how as an industry we should be addressing it.

  • GIRO Conference 2019

    EICC, The Exchange, 150 Morrison St, Edinburgh EH3 8EE
    24-26 September 2019
    Spaces available

    GIRO is attended annually by over 800 delegates and speakers who are keen to discuss key topics such as Pricing, Reserving, Modelling and the future of the insurance industry. GIRO 2018 was a huge success and we have opened bookings early for what we hope will be another brilliant conference at the EICC in Edinburgh this year.